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Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows AFL Betting

AFL Round 22: Gold Coast Suns v Adelaide Betting Preview – Saturday 20 August, 2011. When and Where: 2.10pm at Metricon Stadium

Overall Head-To-Head:

Gold Coast Suns – 0
Adelaide – 1
Draws – 0

Last Time They Met:

Adelaide 20.10 (130) defeated Gold Coast Suns 9.19 (73), Round 8, 2011 at AAMI Stadium

Recent Form:

Gold Coast Suns – WLLLL
Adelaide – LLWWL

Current Ladder Positions:

Gold Coast Suns – 16th (3-16)
Adelaide – 14th (6-13)

Key Players:

Jarrod Harbrow has had a reasonably good first year at the Suns. The 23-year-old has avergaed 21 disposals in 2011, but consistency has been his biggest issue. However Harbrow is ranked first at the club in uncontested possessions, second in handball-receives, third in disposals and kicks, fifth in handballs, sixth in marks and ninth in
contested possessions. He will go into Saturday’s game with confidence, knowing the last time he played the Crows, he accumulated an impressive 25 disposals from nine marks.

Chris Knights has had an inconsistent 2011. The 24-year-old had a fantastic first 10 rounds, then suffered an injury which saw him miss a month of action, but has come back hard in the past three weeks, accumulating 33 and 31 disposals against Geelong and Port Adelaide respectively. Knights ranks seventh at the club for inside 50s this season, with 32 per cent of his entries resulting in a goal – the highest percentage of the top-10 players for inside 50s at Adelaide this season. He’ll be keen to replicate his excellent game against Gold Coast in Round 8 this season, where he kicked two goals from 25 touches.

Gold Coast Suns Team Changes:

IN – Karmichael Hunt, Luke Russell, Rory Thompson, Tom Hickey, Joel Tippett and Nathan Ablett
OUT – Zac Smith (Rested), Nathan Krakouer, Joseph Daye, Charlie Dixon, Joel Wilkinson, Tom Lynch (Back)

Adelaide Team Changes:

IN – Richard Douglas, Ben Rutten, David Mackay and Kurt Tippett
OUT – Chris Knights (Quad), Ivan Maric, Ricky Henderson (Groin), Brodie Smith

New Players:

GOLD COAST SUNS – Tom Hickey (20), Joel Tippett (22, Southport), Nathan Ablett (25, Geelong)

Who Wins?

A few weeks ago, the home team would’ve fancied its chances. But things have changed dramatically since then.

It’s starting to get real ugly for Gold Coast. Over the past two weeks, it’s become clear the Suns’ kids are fatigued and need a break. Very few young players have been named in the best over the past month or so, with Gary Ablett and Nathan Bock the only players to stand up on a consistent basis. On a positive note, those two players are genuine chances to make this year’s All-Australian side. Also expect Ablett’s younger brother, Nathan, to get a run before season’s end.

Adelaide is a rejuvenated unit under new coach Mark Bickley. The Crows have won two of their past three games, but last weekend’s loss to Geelong was perhaps their most impressive performance for the year. They had a genuine crack at the Cats, applying awesome pressure and consistently putting their head over the footy. Rory Sloane was the best man on the ground in a losing side, accumulating career high disposals (36) and marks (10). Bickley has certainly given the club a new lease of life and he’s now in a good position if he wants to coach next season.

If it plays with the same tenacity and motivation as the past three weeks, it’s hard to see Adelaide dropping this one.

Suggested Head-To-Head Bet:

Adelaide by 40+ ($2.42 – Centrebet)

Also Sportingbet Australia is doing a first goal scorer special on the AFL, on top of the usual first goal scorer payout. If your first goal scorer bet scores the second goal, the guys at Sportingbet will pay you out as well! If he kicks the first two, they will pay you double! Get on!

Other Suggested Bets:

First Goal Scorer – Taylor Walker on Sportingbet

Kevin Pitstock

About Kevin Pitstock

Kevin is the Director of Operations at AG. He is a high profile lifetime greyhound industry participant, a thoroughbred owner and professional punter. Kevin grew up on the Central Coast of NSW surfing, playing rugby league and attending greyhound and horse races with SP bookies, owners, jockeys, trainers, committeemen and “colourful racing identities”. Kevin is also a member of MENSA so he definitely understands the more hardcore gambling concepts, not just the hard learned ones.